Will 30-Year Mortgage Rates Hit 5% Soon? Artwork

KP Talks Dollars and Sense

KP Talks Dollars and Sense helps you learn financial literacy and provides real-time updates on all things housing, finance, and real estate with your host Kevin Peranio. As an owner and C-level executive for 20 plus years in finance, KP is here to serve you with all of his knowledge and experience. Tune in each week for more episodes. Kevin Peranio does not render or offer to render personalized investment or tax advice through KP Talks Dollars and Sense. The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, tax, investment or legal advice.

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KP Talks Dollars and Sense

Will 30-Year Mortgage Rates Hit 5% Soon?

March 02, 2026 • Kevin Peranio • Season 4 • Episode 38

0:00 | 12:24

Inside Rates, AI, and the Forces Shaping Software & Mortgage Markets

Coming to you from Scottsdale, Arizona, KP delivers an on-the-ground perspective from the Optimal Blue Summit and the Mortgage Collaborative Desert Disruption—where lenders, executives, and industry leaders gather to discuss the evolving intersection of technology, finance, and real estate. Designed for mortgage professionals and investors alike, these events highlight how AI adoption, regulatory shifts, and market forces are reshaping both software and lending.

In this episode, KP cuts through the noise to explore what truly matters: how low-code and AI-driven software is reducing development costs, the risk of disintermediation for traditional software companies, and the real impact on stock valuations. He also examines mortgage rates, Treasury yields, and economic signals—from inflation data and PCE readings to energy markets and copper prices—showing how macro trends influence borrowing costs and spring purchase season activity.

KP connects the dots between AI, lending, and economic fundamentals, revealing why strategy, data, and adaptation matter more than hype. He also provides insights from executive forums, lender roundtables, and collaborative sessions on how AI can enhance operational efficiency without replacing the human touch.

This episode dives deep into the mechanics behind the headlines—mortgage spreads, 10-year yield movements, inflation indicators, regulatory updates, and market volatility—demonstrating why long-term thinking and adoption of technology are key to staying ahead.

Episode Highlights:

00:00 – Live from Scottsdale: Optimal Blue Summit & Mortgage Collaborative
01:15 – Mortgage rates, 10-year yields & the five-handle potential
03:40 – AI in software and mortgage markets: disruption or overblown?
06:20 – Low-code & vibe coding: lowering costs, reshaping valuations
09:10 – Executive advisory & lender collaboration: real ROI in AI
12:05 – Inflation, PCE, and energy trends: how macro impacts rates
15:20 – Copper prices, transmission issues & AI infrastructure
18:00 – Spring purchase season: locks, borrower behavior & market activity
21:10 – Disintermediation: lessons from software for lenders
24:30 – Stock market signals, AI adoption & corporate investment
28:15 – Human touch in underwriting: balancing tech and service
31:00 – Policy, regulation & the evolving landscape for mortgage pros

The takeaway?

AI, rates, and macro fundamentals are reshaping markets faster than headlines suggest. Understand the forces. Leverage technology. And position yourself ahead of the next cycle.

Stay informed. Stay strategic. Stay ahead.
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Kevin Peranio

Host